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Journal of Tuberculosis and Lung Disease ›› 2025, Vol. 6 ›› Issue (2): 169-175.doi: 10.19983/j.issn.2096-8493.2024149

• Original Articles • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Analysis of the effectiveness of pulmonary tuberculosis screening for freshmen based on Markov model

Chen Hao1, Lin Sihan2, Li Xiaofen1, Liu Zhidong1, Lin Yanwei2()   

  1. 1Huizhou Tuberculosis Research Institute, Huizhou 516001, China
    2Social Medicine and Management, School of Public Health, Guangdong Medical University, Dongguan 523808, China
  • Received:2024-10-11 Online:2025-04-20 Published:2025-04-11
  • Contact: Lin Yanwei,Email: linyanwei@gdmu.edu.cn
  • Supported by:
    Medical Scientific Research Fund Project of Guangdong Provincial(B2018257)

Abstract:

Objective: To evaluate the implementation effect of online pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) symptom questionnaire screening system, provide a novel pathway for PTB screening among students, and expand practical experience in active screening experience. Methods: Freshmen from all types of schools in Huizhou from 2021 to 2022 were enrolled. An independently developed WeChat-based “Tuberculosis Prevention and Control Integrated Management System” (referred to as the “Micro-Supervision System”) was used to conduct online PTB symptom screening. The Markov state transition model was employed to analyze the cost-effectiveness of screening strategy. Results: From 2021 to 2022, a total of 917991 freshmen participated in the screening with 4908 cases (0.53%) identified as having suspected PTB symptoms. Ten active PTB cases were confirmed, yielding a detection rate of 1.09 per 100000. The Markov state transition model estimated that symptoms screening could prevent 3100 PTB cases. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for gaining one quality-adjusted life year was RMB 3060 yuan, significantly lower than China’s 2023 per capita GDP (RMB 89358 yuan). Conclusion: The “Micro-Supervision System” is a cost-effective strategy for PTB screening among freshmen, effectively reducing PTB incidence in children and adolescents.

Key words: Tuberculosis, pulmonary, Mycobacterium infections, Students, public health, Population surveillance, Models, statistical, Markov

CLC Number: